Ruminations on sustainability..
So we’ve got Serbia surrounded by EU countries and a Western-supported independent splinter state Kosovo, with elections in Serbia pitting turn-to-Soviet/China-sphere vs. tell the truth we-lost-the-1990’s-war-let’s-move-on group. We’ve got two pillars of 1970’s African independence, Mugabe and Mbeki, striving to/not to get sucked into massive bloodshed over an utterly destroyed economy. We’ve got a worldwide rate in national “freedom scores” that shows 38 countries declined and only 10 improved in 2007, and the link seems to be the “23 countries in the world that derive at least 60% of their exports from oil and gas, and not a single one is a real democracy.” (IHT 5/8/08)
So, seems to me that what we are witnessing here are two stages of human evolution with a very common undercurrent. 1) The xenophobic tendencies of the tribes in former Yugoslavia and now modern South Africa to protect their own territories with bloodshed is indicative of pre-civilization humanoids protecting the center of their communities, protecting the home fire. And, by extension, the veneration of the leaders of those ancient communities who crafted the initial home fires and the debt the communities owed them. 2) The immense power of energy, and in particular oil, to continue crafting the structure of human interaction.
Let’s take a wide view of these ideas - humans, like any other organism, require energy to survive and grow. The collective humanity, as a species, requires a collective energy to propel the organized community towards survival and growth. Lightning-started wood fires have evolved into finite-quantity oil and gas, the energies which have been the driver of human species growth to this point. Humanity is entering the third-phase of energy advancement, namely sourcing a renewable and sustainable energy future.
If we were limiting ourselves only to Earth, relying on such energies as wind and tide make complete sense. But as a species, we are reaching towards the stars and we require other, manufactured energies to sustain this growth.
The two upshots: 1) Buy stock in oil companies that have significant resources devoted to alternative energies, and in particular those oil companies working on manufactured solutions. These are the companies with visionary leaders who are not preoccupied with the here-and-how, but with a sustainable future; and 2) The oil cartel currently controlling global politics through manipulation of oil pricing cannot sustain its pressure. Yes, the cartels were at this time able to stave off global finance banking powers betting against the price of oil (my new theory about why the Sub-Prime crisis is so extreme) through economic manipulation of politics and the ramifications thereof (the international political impacts of absurd, unsustainable economies in such nations as Venezuela, Sudan, Myanmar, and even (longest-term) Saudi Arabia), but the key point is sustainability… The pressure being exerted on global financial politics is simply not logically sustainable because there is no human growth - OIL IS FINITE!
and, yes, Sudan and Myanmar apparently have massive deposits of untapped oil…